Why Liverpool Derbies Rarely Follow the Form Book

There’s a tendency for fans and bettors to give undue weight to past form when judging upcoming football showdowns, in part because it feels logical, and in part because there’s something reassuring about the certainty that comes with looking at the league table and a historic performance data set. However, variance is a major factor in any match, and the potential for surprises is turned up to 11 when a team like Liverpool has a local derby on the schedule. Here’s why you really can’t trust rec

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